Key events

1h ago Preamble

Alonso rises to P14 on a temporary basis … Gasly surpasses him along with Colapinto, yet Alonso advances into Q2!

Bortoleto reaches P9 posting a 1:19.069.

Antonelli climbs to second though 0.277 behind Norris.

Stroll sits in 16th, the final spot for Q2, holding one final opportunity to avoid elimination.

The elimination zone takes form with Bearman, Albon, Sainz, Bottas, Perez and, following a deletion, Bortoleto.

Norris builds on FP3’s top time with a 1:28.277, 0.379 quicker than Verstappen.

Russell lands fifth quickest, 0.266 off Verstappen. Leclerc posts a solid effort on mediums, preserving the soft tires.

Antonelli advances in second, 0.070 slower than Verstappen.

1:18.656 for Verstappen on softs, narrowly ahead of Hamilton on mediums.

Leclerc breached track limits on mediums so must attempt another run to reach Q2, while Hamilton has likely secured progress already.

Beyond the McLarens, most leading squads remain in the garage. Hamilton records a 1:18.730.

Alonso’s 1:20.565 will not challenge the leaders but marks a solid opening.

Lance Stroll and Alonso both quicker on initial runs than Albon.

Cars head out. Ted Kravitz forecasts Fernando Alonso and Aston Martin can reach Q2.

The wind strengthens. That factor hampered Mercedes especially among the frontrunners in FP2.

Fractions decide matters, David Croft notes: the prior four poles here were decided by a combined margin under one tenth.

Team principals have acted … now the drivers take over.

Calendar update on changes noted in the preamble, with Imola instead of Portimão in Portugal as potential season finale if Donald Trump secures cancellation of Qatar and Abu Dhabi, and the proposed Malaysia race branded as Bahrain:

This year’s Formula One season finale is set to take place at the home circuit of Lewis Hamilton’s Ferrari team in Imola if the scheduled final two rounds in Qatar and Abu Dhabi cannot be staged. F1 bosses have been forced to amend the championship calendar due to the Middle Eastern conflict, with a new round in Malaysia on 4 October also expected to be confirmed in the next 24 hours.
The Press Association understands the Sepang International Circuit, 40 miles south of Kuala Lumpur, will fill a void between the races in Azerbaijan on 26 September and Singapore on 11 October. F1 bosses had looked at reviving the postponed Bahrain Grand Prix – which had been due to take place on 12 April – instead. But continued uncertainty in the region has made that impossible.
PA has been told the Malaysian round, which could be confirmed as early as Sunday, is set to be called the Bahrain Grand Prix, with money for the event bankrolled by Bahrain – and Sepang in effect hosting the Gulf kingdom’s race. The circuit last held an F1 event in 2017.
It is understood F1 chiefs have subsequently plotted a contingency plan with Imola poised to take Qatar’s place on the same weekend if the Middle Eastern races are scrapped. It would mark the first time an F1 season has concluded in Europe for nearly 30 years, after Jerez staged the concluding round of the 1997 campaign. PA Media

And how do the constructors’ standings appear?

1 Mercedes 358pts
2 Ferrari 285
3 McLaren 195
4 Red Bull 151
5 Alpine 61
6 Racing Bulls 61
7 Haas 21
8 Williams 11
9 Audi 10
10 Aston Martin 1
11 Cadillac 0

What do the driver standings look like?

1 Kimi Antonelli Mercedes 204pts
2 Lewis Hamilton Ferrari 159
3 George Russell Mercedes 154
4 Charles Leclerc Ferrari 126
5 Lando Norris McLaren 103
6 Oscar Piastri McLaren 92
7 Max Verstappen Red Bull 91
8 Isack Hadjar Red Bull 60
9 Pierre Gasly Alpine 42
10 Liam Lawson Racing Bulls 39
11 Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls 22
12 Franco Colapinto Alpine 19
13 Oliver Bearman Haas 18
14 Gabriel Bortoleto Audi 10
15 Carlos Sainz Williams 6
16 Alexander Albon Williams 5
17 Esteban Ocon Haas 3
18 Fernando Alonso Aston Martin 1

As “a lap from nowhere” remains possible, no truly reliable guide to qualifying exists. And remember, Mercedes have taken pole position for every main race (Antonelli 6, Russell 4). But FP3 suggested they face a contest.

Lando Norris saw off the challenge from Ferrari to finish fastest in final practice for Sunday’s Hungarian Grand Prix. Lewis Hamilton was quickest at the Hungaroring on Friday, but he ended the last running before qualifying 0.117sec behind Norris’s McLaren.
Hamilton ran wide at the chicane after beating Norris’s first sector to suggest there will be more to come from the seven-time world champion in qualifying.
Kimi Antonelli finished a distant 13th on Friday but the championship leader returned to set the third-fastest lap, just 0.129 sec off the pace. Charles Leclerc was fourth for Ferrari, while George Russell’s troubles appear to have carried over to Hungary.
Russell said Mercedes had solved the engine glitch which scuppered his previous outing in Belgium. However, he was six tenths slower than Norris and nearly half a second back from his teammate, Antonelli. PA Media

Also of interest is that two Aston Martins in 17th and 18th, rather than at the back, and Alonso within 0.5 of 13th.

1 Lando Norris McLaren 1:17.9392 Lewis Hamilton Ferrari +0.1173 Kimi Antonelli Mercedes +0.1294 Charles Leclerc Ferrari +0.3525 Oscar Piastri McLaren +0.4996 George Russell Mercedes +0.6027 Max Verstappen Red Bull +0.7178 Isack Hadjar Red Bull +1.0049 Liam Lawson Racing Bulls +1.14910 Nico Hülkenberg Audi +1.22111 Gabriel Bortoleto Audi +1.399
12 Pierre Gasly Alpine +1.784
13 Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls +1.956
14 Franco Colapinto Alpine +2.116
15 Esteban Ocon Haas +2.356
16 Oliver Bearman Haas +2.373
17 Fernando Alonso Aston Martin +2.454
18 Lance Stroll Aston Martin +2.994
19 Valtteri Bottas Cadillac +3.360
20 Carlos Sainz Williams +3.467
21 Alexander Albon Williams +3.574
22 Sergio Pérez Cadillac No time

There was no Antonelli in FP1 as Frederik Vesti had a run-out and, as frequently happens in such situations, the Italian was feeling his way a little in FP2. He and Russell were not alone in finding life difficult when the wind got up, while for fans of prancing horses it will have been pleasing to see Charles Leclerc and Hamilton in the top three both times, with the latter third then first and the former first then second:

1 Lewis Hamilton Ferrari 1:18.7292 Charles Leclerc Ferrari +0.1483 Lando Norris McLaren +0.4994 Max Verstappen Red Bull +0.6925 George Russell Mercedes +0.9336 Isack Hadjar Red Bull +1.0717 Liam Lawson Racing Bulls +1.3128 Oscar Piastri McLaren +1.3729 Nico Hülkenberg Audi +1.39610 Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls +1.52411 Gabriel Bortoleto Audi +1.745
12 Esteban Ocon Haas +1.828
13 Kimi Antonelli Mercedes +1.964
14 Pierre Gasly Alpine +2.087
15 Oliver Bearman Haas +2.221
16 Alexander Albon Williams +2.244
17 Carlos Sainz Williams +2.697
18 Valtteri Bottas Cadillac +2.713
19 Fernando Alonso Aston Martin +2.990
20 Sergio Pérez Cadillac +3.063
21 Franco Colapinto Alpine +3.063
22 Lance Stroll Aston Martin DNS

While Mercedes have been fixtures of a sort at the front of the grid, Aston Martin have been largely glued to the 11th row. There was the false start over signing with Honda while unaware their former title-winning power-unit team had been disbanded, and that cannot easily be fixed. But there are 16 upgrades to the car for this weekend and maybe a glimmer of hope.

Sure enough, though it’s hard to judge on free practice, especially with five reserve drivers having a run in the first session, Fernando Alonso came in a promising 13th. However, Lance Stroll had a suspension failure and wound up missing FP2 as a result.

Here are the full FP1 timings:

1 Charles Leclerc Ferrari 1:19.0752 Max Verstappen Red Bull +0.4843 Lewis Hamilton Ferrari +0.5434 Isack Hadjar Red Bull +0.9225 George Russell Mercedes +0.9916 Gabriel Bortoleto Audi +1.2857 Frederik Vesti Mercedes +1.3928 Nico Hülkenberg Audi +1.5489 Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls +1.68510 Liam Lawson Racing Bulls +1.79111 Lando Norris McLaren +1.949
12 Esteban Ocon Haas +1.976
13 Fernando Alonso Aston Martin +2.475
14 Pierre Gasly Alpine +2.629
15 Alexander Albon Williams +2.744
16 Leonardo Fornaroli McLaren +2.815
17 Ryo Hirakawa Haas +2.926
18 Sergio Pérez Cadillac +3.014
19 Paul Aron Alpine +3.093
20 Colton Herta Cadillac +4.043
21 Lance Stroll Aston Martin +4.396
22 Carlos Sainz Williams +4.659

There are bigger problems in F1 than one man and his straight-line speed: the whole grid has had problems caused by the new formula. The problem was exposed again at Silverstone and Spa, two classic circuits that were diminished by the lack of corners to recharge the electrical power, and Lando Norris has been speaking out:

“The thing that’s a shame is that Formula One’s gone too heavily led by the fact it’s a business nowadays and not how can you make the sport the best possible,” he said. “It’s how can you just make the most money as a business and that’s just not what it should simply be. That’s not how a sport should be run.”

As Giles Richards explains:

The use of an almost 50-50 split in electrical power and the internal combustion engine is understood to have been central in attracting manufacturers such as Audi and Honda into F1 this season. However, it has proved hugely unpopular with drivers, who now have to manage their use of energy rather than being able to race flat out and has introduced some variables into performance influenced by the algorithm that governs the deployment of electrical power.

Still, Audi’s presence has brought Allan McNish into the sport, and Giles has been chatting to the sportscar great:

Giles continued:

The shortcomings of the new regulations were shown starkly at the last two rounds at Silverstone and Spa. Both circuits are considered energy-starved, leading to a chorus of complaints over race weekends, and at Spa the lack of power left one of the great tracks an anodyne affair.

The good news for this weekend’s spectacle is that the Hungaroring’s twists and turns will offer mitigation, charging up the electrical power through the braking, meaning the straights are taken flat-out.

F1 has deigned to address Norris’s concerns:

A Formula One spokesman responded to Norris’s comments by saying drivers were listened to more than ever. “The sport on track is, and always will be, the priority,” he said. “Everyone has benefited from the commercial success of Formula One – the drivers included. Decisions are made for the best strategic outcome for everyone – the fans, teams and partners.” Reuters

The good news for Mercedes is that the problem has been fixed, it seems. Russell said as he prepared for the Hungaroring:

“I’m feeling good and glad there are some positive answers that have come back from the battery and it’s eyes forward now. These new power units are just exceptionally complex, and there was something deeply embedded in the calibration of the code that was almost impossible to see unless … you knew exactly what to look for. So I’m glad we have found it. Spa and Silverstone probably exposed the issue just because of the nature of the track.”

So two questions. Will Hungary see a swing back to Russell? And will it finally see the two Mercedes gaining comparable results? Send me your thoughts.

There’s 40 minutes till qualifying. The last few F1 races have brought to mind … cricket, such has been the scale of the swing we have seen, like Bob Massie on rubber and petrol.

The disparity in the fortunes of the two Mercedes means that only once in the last eight rounds have they finished within 10 points of each other, when George Russell was first and Kimi Antonelli third in Austria. In Japan the swing was an unlucky 13 against Russell. In Miami, with the sprint, it was 11. WIth the Canadian sprint it was 23, then 25 in Monaco. Then it was 18 in Russell’s favour in Barcelona and at Silverstone, either side of Austria, before last week’s 25-point swing to Antonelli after Russell’s first-lap exit at Spa.

In the Australian season opener, Russell was first and Antonelli second, with those placings reversed in Japan. Austria is the only full race since where the two cars of the constructors’ title leaders have finished within two places of each other. In 24 full races last season, McLaren’s Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri finished within two places of each other 16 times.